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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Paper illustration for Opportunity Interview
Product Discovery
Opportunity Interview
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.When opportunities are still hidden behind signals of need, it structures conversations around needs and obstacles. It looks for patterns that lead to new product opportunities.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumHighLow
Timedifferent
30–45 min30-60 min je Interview1-4 Wochen45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
1-105-12 Interviews6-30 Experten2-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsInterview Notes, Opportunity Themes, Customer QuotesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption NotesAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning Plan
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
DiscoveryInterviewsOpportunityCustomer
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
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