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| Criterion | ![]() Innovation How Might We | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Decision Making Delphi Method | ![]() Product Strategy DIBB |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction. | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report. |
Complexitydifferent | Low | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 30–45 min | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 1-10 | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea Prompts | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | DIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning report |
Tagsno overlap | FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis |



