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Criterion
How Might We
Innovation
How Might We
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Paper illustration of a Concept Map with concepts and labelled links
Knowledge Modeling
Concept Mapping
Paper illustration of Riskiest Assumption Test with a method-specific labelled workspace.
Product Discovery
Riskiest Assumption Test
Purposedifferent
With a stuck problem carrying many implicit assumptions, the method translates observations into open, workable questions. It sharpens the problem frame without pre-thinking the solution, turning frustration or fuzziness into a search space with clear direction.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly.When an idea hinges on one critical unknown, it prioritizes testing that exact piece of uncertainty first. It separates problem, assumption, solution, and evidence. The result is captured as a prioritized list of assumptions, a test plan, and a result report.
Complexitydifferent
LowMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
30–45 min45-60 min1-2 h1-2 Wochen pro Iteration
Participantsdifferent
1-102-81-82-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
HMW Questions, Challenge Framing, Idea PromptsAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk rankingConcept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge GapsPrioritized Assumption List, Test Plan, Results Report
Tagsno overlap
FramingOpportunityIdeationQuestions
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking
ExperimentsValidationDiscoveryAssumptions
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