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Criterion
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
A hypothetical failure makes concrete risks, signals, and fitting mitigations visible.
Decision Making
Pre-Mortem
Decision Tree method illustration showing its working structure
Decision Making
Decision Tree
Paper illustration for ALPEN Method
Operations
ALPEN Method
Purposedifferent
When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.In early initiatives with many uncertainties, planning quickly turns too optimistic. A pre-mortem makes the expected failure visible in advance and sharpens the view of causes, gaps, and countermeasures.For decisions with follow-on paths and dependencies, a linear comparison is often not enough. A Decision Tree shows how options branch under conditions and which consequences hang on each branch.With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time.
Complexitydifferent
LowLowMediumLow
Timedifferent
30-120 min20–45 min30-90 min10-20 min daily
Participantsdifferent
2-6Small cross-functional group1-61
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Observation Notes, Improvement IdeasRisk list, Mitigation plan, Assumption logDecision Tree, Option Map, Assumption ListDaily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes
Tagsno overlap
LeanObservationProcessOperations
RiskDecisionFailurePlanning
DecisionTreeOptions
PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations
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