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Criterion
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Paper illustration of an assumption matrix with prioritized test cards
Decision Making
Assumption Surfacing
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration of a calm four-quadrant Assumption Map with hypothesis cards and emphasis on important assumptions with little evidence.
Product Discovery
Assumption Mapping
Purposedifferent
In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.Plans often contain assumptions that were never openly stated and remain dangerous precisely because of that. Assumption Surfacing makes these silent premises visible and prioritizes which of them carry the initiative or could sink it.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first.
Complexitydifferent
HighLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
Halber Tag45-90 min30-90 min45-60 min
Participantsdifferent
5-202-83-122-8
Formatdifferent
WorkshopWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Simulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksAssumption List, Critical Assumptions, Learning PlanPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineAssumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking
Tagsno overlap
ResilienceOperationsIncident
AssumptionsRiskDecisionDiscovery
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation
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