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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Systems Thinking Soft Systems Methodology |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | Soft Systems Methodology helps explore unclear or politically charged problems systematically. Instead of forcing a quick answer, the method builds a shared understanding of perspectives and room for action. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-90 min | 45-90 min | 0.5-3 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-10 | 3-12 | 5-15 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Rich Picture, Root Definitions, Conceptual Models, Change Agenda |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight | ChangeDecisionStrategy | Soft systemsComplexitySensemakingSystems thinking |