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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy VRIO Framework |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitysame | Medium | Medium | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 90-180 min | 1-2 h | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-6 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | VRIO Table, Strategic Actions | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |