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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Business Strategy GAP Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Half day | 1-3 h | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Gap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | StrategyAnalysisPlanning | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |