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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Time Blocking |  Operations MORT Analysis |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure. | For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 15-30 min Planung, laufend | Mehrere Tage bis Wochen | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1 | 2-6 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Blocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus Plan | MORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PlanningTime managementFocus | Root causeSafetySystemicIncident | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |