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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Time Blocking
Operations
Time Blocking
Paper illustration of Family Tree Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Family Tree Analysis
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With a calendar that grows on request, the method makes available time explicit again. It combines appointments, focus work, and buffer into a more realistic day structure.For a series of incidents with a similar pattern, the method arranges individual events as branches of a common origin. It makes visible which conditions keep recurring.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min15-30 min Planung, laufend2-4 hMehrere Tage bis Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-1012-62-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsBlocked Calendar, Capacity View, Focus PlanFamily Tree Diagram, Pattern Notes, Systemic MeasuresMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic Recommendations
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PlanningTime managementFocus
Root causePatternsIncidentSystemic
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
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