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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Systems Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Systems Mapping
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Systems Mapping arranges elements, relationships, and boundaries so a complex field becomes legible at a glance. The overview stabilizes the overall picture before detail work or steering begins.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h2-6 h2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-123-83-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsSystem Map, Dependencies, Leverage PointsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingMappingBoundariesChange
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
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