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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Scenario Planning |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Product Strategy Impact Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Scenario Planning opens the view to several plausible futures instead of a single forecast. The method protects strategies from depending on too narrow an expected path. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 0.5-2 Tage | 10-20 min daily | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 4-12 | 1 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Scenario Set, Strategic Implications, Robust Options | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Impact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery Options |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyUncertaintyPlanning | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning |