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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Agile Sailboat Retrospective |  Agile Sprint Retrospective |  Operations After-Action Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When a team wants to read momentum, brakes, and risks together, it offers an easily understandable picture of the situation. It makes drive, obstacles, and headwind visible in the same picture. | When a sprint is over and friction shouldn't simply be carried forward, it opens the view onto collaboration and patterns. It creates space to see causes and changes together. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | Up to 3 hours for a one-month Sprint; shorter Sprints are usually shorter | 20-45 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 4-12 | Scrum Team | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Sailboat Board, Risks, Improvement Actions | Improvement actions, Team agreements | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | RetrospectiveTeamImprovement | RetrospectiveImprovementLearning | LearningOperationsImprovement |