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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Delivery RAID Log | ![]() Product Discovery Assumption Mapping | ![]() Systems Thinking CATWOE Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Helps clarify scope, sequence, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, boundaries, and order steerable. The result is captured as a RAID Log and a source for status reporting. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | CATWOE structures a problem from six viewpoints and prevents too narrow a view of the situation. Different experiences of the system become comparably discussable this way. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30 min Setup, dann laufend | 45-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-3 maintaining, briefing for everyone | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | RAID Log, Status Report Source | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | CATWOE Canvas, Root Definition, Stakeholder Perspectives, Constraints |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | RiskTrackingStakeholdersGovernance | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | Systems thinkingFramingStakeholders |



