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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of a Polarity Map with two poles and four quadrants
Systems Thinking
Polarity Mapping
Paper illustration of a scoring table with four factor columns, a calculator and three ordered initiative cards.
Product Strategy
RICE Scoring
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely.When many initiatives compete for the same resources, it brings reach, impact, confidence, and effort into one shared ranking. It makes prioritization economically connectable.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-2 h60-90 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-122-101-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPolarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance ActionsRICE Scores, Ranked List, Assumption LogABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership
PrioritizationScoringRoadmapTradeoffs
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
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