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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy PESTLE Analysis |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |  Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | PESTLE Analysis makes political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental influences visible. The environment of an initiative is thereby read systematically instead of through isolated trends. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | Half day | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-10 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | PESTLE Map, External Risks, Strategic Questions | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | StrategyMarketAnalysis | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |