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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making OODA Loop |  Product Discovery Assumption Mapping |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. | When assumptions still sit unordered in the room, it weighs uncertainty against leverage. It makes visible which hypotheses should be checked first. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 15-60 min je Zyklus | 45-60 min | 45-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates | Assumption map, Test backlog, Risk ranking | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy | AssumptionsRiskExperimentsValidation | ChangeDecisionStrategy |