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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Systems Thinking Leverage Points | ![]() Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis | ![]() Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Half day | Half day | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 3-8 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | Value Chain Map, Lever List | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |



