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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of Leverage Points with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Leverage Points
Paper illustration of DIBB with its method-specific working model.
Product Strategy
DIBB
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy.DIBB helps clarify target groups, value, goals, and priorities by making the logic behind a decision explicit. It captures results as a DIBB document, belief list, bet list, and learning report.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighLowHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 minHalf day1-2 h1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-103-122-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsLeverage Map, Action StrategyDIBB document, Belief list, Bet list, Learning reportExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingChangeStrategy
StrategyDecisionAssumptionsHypothesis
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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