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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Innovation Lean Startup | ![]() Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping | ![]() Systems Thinking Leverage Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 1-5 Tage | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Leverage Map, Action Strategy |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanStartupValidationMVP | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy |



