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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Innovation Lean Startup |  Growth A/B Testing |  Business Strategy 5-Minuten VC-Check |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For uncertain business assumptions, the method forces the idea into contact with real market reactions early. It separates wishful picture, assumption, and observable behavior, so that learning becomes faster than planning. This translates uncertainty into measurable insight. | When two variants compete, discussions quickly decide by taste rather than effect. A/B Testing checks behavior under controlled conditions and separates real improvement from chance or expectation effects. | The 5-Minute VC Check clarifies opportunities and strategic options at the earliest idea stage. It compares problem quality, customer willingness to pay, alternatives, differentiation, and market potential, and captures the result as a VC-check note, go/sharpen/park decision, and risk list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | Wochen bis Monate je Lernzyklus | 1-4 Wochen | 5-15 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Hypothesis list, MVPs, Learning reports, Pivot or persevere decision | Experiment results, Decision log, Learning summary | VC-check note, Go/sharpen/park decision, Risk and assumption list, Next validation step |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanStartupValidationMVP | ExperimentsGrowthAnalyticsValidation | StartupValidationCompetition |