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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Knowledge Mapping.
Knowledge Modeling
Knowledge Mapping
Paper illustration for Future Reality Tree.
Systems Thinking
Future Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.Knowledge Mapping makes knowledge, gaps, and transfer paths visible across a field. It fits when expertise should not just exist but also be findable and transferable.A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min1-3 h2-4 h60-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-123-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsKnowledge Map, Critical Knowledge Areas, Transfer PlanFuture Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved InjectionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next Experiments
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
KnowledgeMappingRisk
Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
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