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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-5 Tage | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 1-2 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 4-12 | 3-12 | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation |