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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration of a branching impact map with a Why goal at the root, actor circles, How behavior changes and What options.
Product Strategy
Impact Mapping
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Gap Analysis method illustration showing its working structure
Business Strategy
GAP Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When a goal needs to be connected to several possible paths, it shows chains of impact instead of feature lists. It connects business goal, behavior change, and measures.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.GAP Analysis compares the current state with a target picture and makes the distance manageable. It becomes useful when, ahead of new initiatives, it must become clear which capabilities, processes, or resources are missing.
Complexitysame
MediumMediumMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 min60-120 min1-3 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-82-82-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsImpact Map, Outcome Hypotheses, Delivery OptionsConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsGap Matrix, Action Plan, Risk Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
OutcomesStrategyBehaviorPlanning
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
StrategyAnalysisPlanning
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