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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Operations ABC Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-60 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 | 1-5 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio |