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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Getting Things Done |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |  Operations ALPEN Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | With many open commitments and ideas in daily life, a reliable external storage system emerges. The method relieves the mind so priority and context don't have to compete in memory. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h Setup, laufend | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ | 10-20 min daily |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1 | 3-12 | 1 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop | Async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Action Lists, Project List, Review Routine | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ProductivityPlanningTasksExecution | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations |