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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations Gemba Walk |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations Kaizen Event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a tightly scoped process segment with noticeable waste, the method bundles shared energy for change. It suits situations that call for fast learning loops and visible adjustments. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 0.5-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-6 | 6-30 Experten | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Observation Notes, Improvement Ideas | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Kaizen Charter, Waste List, Improvement Experiments, Standard Work Update |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LeanObservationProcessOperations | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanContinuous improvementOperations |