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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
A3 Problem-Solving workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
A3 Problem Solving
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-120 min2-6 h45-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-102-63-82-5
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsObservation Notes, Improvement IdeasCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention IdeasA3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
LeanObservationProcessOperations
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations
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