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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Process Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Operations
Process Mapping
Gemba Walk workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
Operations
Gemba Walk
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots.When there is uncertainty about the real course of a process, the method brings observation to the place where work happens. It combines perception, follow-up questions, and process knowledge so decisions rest on actual workflows instead of assumptions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 minHalber Tag1-3 h30-120 min
Participantsdifferent
3-105-203-102-6
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksProcess Map, Handoff List, Improvement BacklogObservation Notes, Improvement Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ResilienceOperationsIncident
ProcessOperationsImprovement
LeanObservationProcessOperations
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