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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Game Day workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Game Day
Process Mapping method illustration showing its working structure
Operations
Process Mapping
Paper illustration of a review with planned work, actual event sequence, comparison, and assigned improvement actions.
Operations
After-Action Review
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.In preparing for rare incidents, the method tests response capability under controlled conditions. It shows where assumptions about stability, roles, and recovery are too optimistic.With a confusing workflow that has many handoffs, the method makes the actual process visible. It shows where work is passed on, delayed, or duplicated, so improvement targets the right spots.After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHighMediumLow
Timedifferent
60-120 minHalber Tag1-3 h20-45 min
Participantsdifferent
3-105-203-103-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshopWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsSimulation Notes, Gaps List, Updated RunbooksProcess Map, Handoff List, Improvement BacklogLessons learned, Action items, Event summary
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ResilienceOperationsIncident
ProcessOperationsImprovement
LearningOperationsImprovement
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