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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Systems Thinking Future Reality Tree |  Operations ALPEN Method |  Systems Thinking Intervention Mapping |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | A Future Reality Tree shows how desired actions are meant to lead to a better system state. The method checks whether a path of change holds together logically before time flows into implementation. | With an overloaded day full of too many tasks, a realistic picture of the day emerges. The method connects estimating, deciding, and buffer thinking so planning fits available energy and time. | Intervention Mapping translates a need for change into a planned, evaluable program. The method connects target group, determinants, actions, and measurement into a traceable chain. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-4 h | 10-20 min daily | 1-5 Tage |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-8 | 1 | 4-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Future Reality Tree, Negative Branches, Assumption List, Improved Injections | Daily Plan, Time Estimates, Review Notes | Logic Model, Change Objectives, Intervention Components, Evaluation Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Theory of ConstraintsSystems thinkingChange | PlanningTime managementProductivityOperations | ChangeSystems thinkingCapability |