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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Decision Making OODA Loop |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 45-90 min | 1-4 Wochen | 15-60 min je Zyklus |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 6-30 Experten | 1-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | Situation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action Updates |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ChangeDecisionStrategy | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | DecisionChangeLearningStrategy |