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| Criterion | ![]() Systems Thinking Futures Wheel | ![]() Operations Failure Mode and Effects Analysis | ![]() Business Strategy VRIO Framework | ![]() Business Strategy Business Model Stress Test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability. | The VRIO Framework rates resources and capabilities on whether they are Valuable, Rare, Inimitable, and Organized. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a VRIO table and strategic actions. | A Business Model Stress Test checks how well a business model holds up under pressure and headwinds. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a stress-test report and action plan per scenario. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 2-6 h | 90-180 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | FMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions | VRIO Table, Strategic Actions | Stress Test Report, Action Plan per Scenario |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause | StrategyDiagnosisBusiness modelCapability | StrategyBusiness modelRiskDiagnosis |



