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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Operations
Failure Mode and Effects Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For a process, product, or service with noticeable failure risks, the method assesses possible failure modes in advance. It directs attention to combinations of occurrence, effect, and detectability.
Complexitydifferent
MediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min2-6 h
Participantssame
3-103-10
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsFMEA Table, Risk Priority, Mitigation Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
RiskQualityOperationsRoot cause
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Often compared together

Methods with strong topical overlap with the current selection, not yet in the comparison.

Paper fishbone diagram with a measurable effect at the head and six labeled cause branches.
Operations
Fishbone Diagram
Paper illustration for 8D Problem Solving.
Operations
8D Problem Solving
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Paper illustration for Fault Tree Analysis.
Operations
Fault Tree Analysis