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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Operations A3 Problem Solving |  Facilitation Decision Jam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | For a complex deviation with several people involved, the method bundles problem, analysis, and decision onto one page. It creates a shared working space where causes, countermeasures, and follow-up fit together. | When a decision is stuck, Decision Jam loosens the knot through structured separation of problem, idea, and selection. The format creates movement without jumping prematurely at the first seemingly elegant answer. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Medium | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-4 Wochen | 45-90 min | 60-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 6-30 Experten | 2-5 | 4-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | A3 Report, Action Plan, Root Cause Analysis | Problem Cluster, Prioritized Challenge, Experiment |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | LeanProblem solvingCoachingOperations | FacilitationDecisionProblem solvingWorkshop |