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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Risk Matrix |  Delivery MoSCoW |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When a project faces many possible disruptions, it quickly becomes unclear which risks deserve attention first. It separates options, evaluation criteria, and open risks. The result is captured as a Risk Matrix and a Top Risk List. | When a release carries too many demands and priorities are only ever negotiated, MoSCoW creates clear boundaries for the next cut. Must, Should, Could, and Won't make commitment, room for maneuver, and trade-off logic visible to everyone involved. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 90-180 min | 30-60 min | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-8 | 3-10 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Risk Matrix, Top Risk List | Prioritized Backlog, Release Scope, Tradeoff Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | RiskDecisionPrioritizationAssessment | PrioritizationScopeDecision |