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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Delivery Cost of Delay |  Decision Making Delphi Method |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. | When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | High | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 90-180 min | 1-4 Wochen | 30-60 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-8 | 6-30 Experten | 2-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop | Async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence | Expert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes | ICE Table, Top Idea List |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision | ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision |