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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Knowledge Modeling Concept Mapping |  Systems Thinking Leverage Points |  Systems Thinking VUCA Scan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | Concept Mapping arranges terms and relationships in a network that makes subject-matter connections tangible. It fits when a topic needs to be understood structurally rather than linearly. | Leverage Points show exactly where interventions in a system produce a disproportionate effect. It draws relationships, patterns, and feedback loops. The result is captured as a leverage map and action strategy. | The VUCA Scan helps read difficult situations more precisely. Instead of treating unclarity as generally complicated, the method separates fast change, missing knowledge, systemic entanglement, and ambiguous interpretation. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | High | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | Half day | 30-90 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-8 | 3-12 | 1-10 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Concept Map, Relationship Labels, Knowledge Gaps | Leverage Map, Action Strategy | VUCA Map, Response Options, Signal and Learning Plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | KnowledgeConceptsMappingSensemaking | Systems thinkingChangeStrategy | SensemakingUncertaintyComplexityStrategyForesight |