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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Change Analysis.
Operations
Change Analysis
Paper illustration for Evaporating Cloud.
Systems Thinking
Evaporating Cloud
Paper illustration for Current Reality Tree
Systems Thinking
Current Reality Tree
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.For a deviation after a change, the method isolates the influence of the altered condition. It narrows down which differences are relevant and which are just accompanying noise.The method makes visible why two seemingly incompatible demands arise and which assumption must be tested to resolve the conflict.A Current Reality Tree condenses many symptoms into a few causal chains. The method makes visible which core problems drive several negative effects at once.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-120 min60-120 min2-6 h
Participantsdifferent
3-102-62-83-8
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsChange Matrix, Cause Hypotheses, Validation Questions, Action ListConflict Cloud, Assumption List, Breakthrough Ideas, Next ExperimentsCurrent Reality Tree, Core Problems, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ChangeRoot causeTroubleshootingComparison
Theory of ConstraintsAssumptionsSystems thinking
Systems thinkingRoot causeConstraintsCausality
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