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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for CATWOE Analysis.
Systems Thinking
CATWOE Analysis
Paper illustration for OODA Loop.
Decision Making
OODA Loop
Anonymous individual judgments pass through feedback loops to form a distribution.
Decision Making
Delphi Method
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.CATWOE structures a problem from six viewpoints and prevents too narrow a view of the situation. Different experiences of the system become comparably discussable this way.In dynamic situations, decisions become outdated faster than they can be prepared. The OODA Loop holds observing, orienting, deciding, and acting together as a recurring rhythm so reaction does not slide into inertia.When knowledge is distributed and direct dominance should be avoided, groups quickly fall under the sway of their opinion leaders. The Delphi Method gathers assessments iteratively and gradually brings expert judgments closer together.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumMediumHigh
Timedifferent
60-120 min45-90 min15-60 min je Zyklus1-4 Wochen
Participantsdifferent
3-103-81-86-30 Experten
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncAsync
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsCATWOE Canvas, Root Definition, Stakeholder Perspectives, ConstraintsSituation Assessment, Decision Loop, Action UpdatesExpert Forecast, Consensus Range, Assumption Notes
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingFramingStakeholders
DecisionChangeLearningStrategy
ForecastingExpertsDecisionStrategy
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