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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Business Strategy SWOT Analysis |  Business Strategy Value Chain Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | SWOT Analysis arranges strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats into a compact picture of the situation. It keeps internal capabilities and external influences separate before strategic options emerge from them. | Value Chain Analysis shows where value is created, costs accrue, and differentiation becomes possible along the process. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and courses of action. The result is captured as a value-chain map and lever list. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 30-60 min | Half day |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | SWOT matrix, Strategic options, Action list | Value Chain Map, Lever List |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | StrategyAnalysisMarketPositioning | StrategyBusiness modelDiagnosisAnalysis |