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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Business Strategy Business Model Canvas |  Decision Making Force Field Analysis |  Business Strategy Three Horizons |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | The Business Model Canvas condenses a business model to its key building blocks and assumptions. It makes variants quickly comparable and reveals gaps before validation or implementation begins. | In change initiatives, supporting and restraining forces sit at the table at the same time. Force Field Analysis makes these tensions explicit and shows where change can be pushed forward by strengthening or relieving. | Three Horizons helps clarify strategic options across different timeframes. It compares strengths, risks, market logic, and investment choices, and captures the result as a horizon map, portfolio view, and initiatives per horizon. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-2 h | 45-90 min | Halbtags-Workshop, dann iterativ |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 2-8 | 3-12 | 3-12 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Business Model Canvas, Assumption List, Business Hypotheses | Force Field Map, Change Levers, Risk Notes | Horizon map, Portfolio view, Initiatives per horizon, Resource plan |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | Business modelStrategyValueInnovation | ChangeDecisionStrategy | StrategyInnovationPortfolioForesight |