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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration of MORT Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
MORT Analysis
Paper illustration of Barrier Analysis with its method-specific working model.
Operations
Barrier Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.For a safety-relevant event or a system with high protection requirements, the method examines where controls failed. It exposes both technical and organizational gaps.For a risk that can only be managed through multiple layers of protection, the method examines the effectiveness of each barrier. It shows where safeguards are missing, too weak, or fail under real conditions.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 minMehrere Tage bis Wochen2-4 h
Participantsdifferent
3-103-122-62-6
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineMORT Worksheets, Findings per Branch, Corrective Actions, Systemic RecommendationsBarrier Inventory, Failure Analysis per Barrier, Action Backlog
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
Root causeSafetySystemicIncident
Root causeSafetyIncident
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