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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Blameless Postmortem workspace showing the question, observations, and next decision.
DevOps
Blameless Postmortem
Paper illustration for Causal Factor Analysis.
Operations
Causal Factor Analysis
Paper illustration for Incident Timeline Analysis.
DevOps
Incident Timeline Analysis
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.After an incident with damage or a near miss, the method creates a sober field for learning without assigning blame. It directs attention to the course of events, conditions, and effective countermeasures.For an event with a complicated course, the method breaks down the contributing factors along the timeline. It shows how conditions, decisions, and reactions together produce a course of events.For an incident with an unclear sequence, the method makes the timeline precisely visible. It separates perception, reaction, and delay so cause and effect become more clearly readable.
Complexitydifferent
MediumMediumHighMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-90 min2-6 h60-180 min
Participantsdifferent
3-103-123-103-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsPostmortem Doc, Action Items, TimelineEvent Timeline, Causal Factor Chart, Cause List, Corrective ActionsIncident Timeline, Evidence Log, Delay Analysis, Improvement Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Site Reliability EngineeringIncidentLearningReliability
CausalityIncidentRoot causeTimeline
IncidentTimelineSite Reliability Engineering
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