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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Paper illustration for Affinity Estimation.
Agile
Affinity Estimation
Paper illustration for Bucket System.
Agile
Bucket System
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.When many tasks need to be classified quickly, it sorts them by perceived effort and similarity. It reduces the effort of fine-grained estimation for large volumes.When a large batch of work needs a fast, rough estimate, it sorts items into predefined size buckets. It sorts work by value, risk, and delivery ability. The result is captured as a Bucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, and Split Candidates.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min20-45 min30-90 min30-90 min
Participantsdifferent
3-101-103-123-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshopWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsAffinity Size Map, Grouped Estimates, Unclear ItemsBucketed Backlog, Relative Estimates, Split Candidates
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
EstimationBacklogRelative sizing
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