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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Decision Making Argument Mapping |  Product Strategy ICE Scoring |  Knowledge Modeling IBIS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | When statements, evidence, and counterarguments get mixed up, a debate quickly loses its structure. Argument Mapping breaks a thesis down into its reasoning and makes visible what it really rests on. | When ideas need sorting quickly, it condenses impact, confidence, and effort into one compact score. It connects customer value, product logic, and decision priorities. The result is captured as an ICE table and top-ideas list. | IBIS structures thinking about complex questions as a sequence of issues, ideas, and arguments. The method keeps discussions open without forcing them into premature consensus. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Medium | Low | Medium |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 1-3 h | 30-60 min | 1-3 h |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-8 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
Formatsame | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop + async |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Argument Map, Evidence Gaps, Decision Rationale | ICE Table, Top Idea List | Issue Map, Positions, Argument Notes |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | SensemakingDecisionRationale | PrioritizationScoringGrowthDecision | RationaleKnowledgeDecision |