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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations After-Action Review |  Agile Sailboat Retrospective |  Agile 4Ls Retrospective |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | After missions or project phases with unclear outcomes, the method makes visible what actually happened and what can be learned from it. It separates course, effect, and causes so experience turns into solid improvement. | When a team wants to read momentum, brakes, and risks together, it offers an easily understandable picture of the situation. It makes drive, obstacles, and headwind visible in the same picture. | When a sprint should not only be assessed but also learned from, it captures experience in clear learning categories. It records what worked, what's missing, and what should run differently next time. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | Low | Low |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 20-45 min | 45-90 min | 45–75 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 3-12 | 4-12 | Team members involved |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Workshop + async | Workshop | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | Lessons learned, Action items, Event summary | Sailboat Board, Risks, Improvement Actions | 4Ls Board, Learning Themes, Improvement Actions |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | LearningOperationsImprovement | RetrospectiveTeamImprovement | RetrospectiveLearningReflectionTeam |