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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for Accountability Ladder
Operations
Accountability Ladder
Paper illustration for Behavior Over Time Graph.
Systems Thinking
Behavior Over Time Graph
Iceberg Model method illustration showing its working structure
Systems Thinking
Iceberg Model
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With defensive reactions to problems, the method shifts the view from justification to ownership. It makes visible which reaction stage a person or team is currently stuck on.A Behavior Over Time Graph shows how a metric or observation develops over time. The method makes trends, breaks, and recurring patterns visible that get lost in snapshots.The Iceberg Model separates visible events from patterns, structures, and mental models. This turns a single observation into a deeper understanding of why a problem keeps recurring.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowLowLow
Timedifferent
60-120 min20-45 min20-45 min30-60 min
Participantsdifferent
3-101-81-102-10
Formatsame
Workshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop + async
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsOwnership Reflection, Action Commitment, Coaching NotesBehavior Over Time Graph, Trend Hypotheses, Key EventsIceberg Worksheet, Pattern Notes, Intervention Ideas
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
ResponsibilityLeadershipTeam
Systems thinkingPatternsDynamics
Systems thinkingRoot causePatterns
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