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Criterion
Paper illustration of Futures Wheel with its method-specific working model.
Systems Thinking
Futures Wheel
Paper illustration for ABC Analysis
Operations
ABC Analysis
Paper illustration of a scoring table with four factor columns, a calculator and three ordered initiative cards.
Product Strategy
RICE Scoring
Paper illustration of a Polarity Map with two poles and four quadrants
Systems Thinking
Polarity Mapping
Purposedifferent
The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event.With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention.When many initiatives compete for the same resources, it brings reach, impact, confidence, and effort into one shared ranking. It makes prioritization economically connectable.Polarity Mapping makes tensions between two opposing poles tangible, such as standardization and adaptation or control and autonomy. The method guards against making apparent either-or decisions prematurely.
Complexitydifferent
MediumLowMediumMedium
Timedifferent
60-120 min30-60 min60-90 min1-2 h
Participantsdifferent
3-101-52-103-12
Formatdifferent
Workshop + asyncAsyncWorkshop + asyncWorkshop
Outputdifferent
Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic SignalsABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control ListRICE Scores, Ranked List, Assumption LogPolarity Map, Warning Signs, Balance Actions
Tagsno overlap
ForesightSystems thinkingSignals
PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio
PrioritizationScoringRoadmapTradeoffs
Systems thinkingTradeoffsLeadership
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