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| Criterion |  Systems Thinking Futures Wheel |  Operations ABC Analysis |  Operations Kepner-Tregoe |  Delivery Cost of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Purposedifferent | The Futures Wheel helps explore the consequences of a decision, a trend, or a strategic move in a structured way. It makes visible which first, second, and third-order effects could arise from an event. | With many similar objects of differing economic significance, the method prioritizes effort by effect. It separates what needs regular steering from what rarely needs attention. | For a disturbance that's hard to pin down, the method cleanly separates problem, cause, and decision. It reduces mixing when symptoms allow several interpretations. | Helps clarify scope, order, and delivery flow in concrete terms. It makes work, constraints, and sequence manageable. The result is captured as a Cost of Delay table and prioritization sequence. |
Complexitydifferent | Medium | Low | High | High |
Timedifferent | 60-120 min | 30-60 min | 2-8 h | 90-180 min |
Participantsdifferent | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-8 | 3-8 |
Formatdifferent | Workshop + async | Async | Workshop + async | Workshop |
Outputdifferent | Futures Wheel, Consequence Chains, Strategic Signals | ABC Classification, Focus Rules, Control List | Problem Analysis, Decision Analysis, Risk Plan | CoD Table, Prioritization Sequence |
Tagsno overlap | ForesightSystems thinkingSignals | PrioritizationOperationsPortfolio | Problem solvingRoot causeDecisionOperations | PrioritizationDeliveryEconomicsDecision |